Estofex slaat nog geen alarm dus het zal wel meevallen
Die hebben niet zo heel veel met dit soort stormen, dus afwezigheid van een warning zegt in dit geval niet zo veel:
Why does ESTOFEX not forecast all severe wind gusts and all precipitation, convective or not?
It was chosen not do this, because of limitations of our available time, and our wish to focus on deep organized convection. In addition this would require knowledge of local details in non-convective climatology at the scale of entire Europe (please consult your regional weather service). We are well aware that this selective approach creates problems in marginally convective/non-convective situations. In case of a storm depression with severe widespread winds, we issue threat levels when the forecast convective organization appears to be capable of enhancing the already severe "background" weather threat, for example by bow echoes and supercells. In such cases it is particularly recommended to read the forecast text, which conveys the total threat better than the choice of threat levels.
